Let's analyze today's $BTC trend:
From a candlestick chart perspective, the price has been suppressed below the moving average for several days, breaking below the 20-day moving average and the Bollinger Band middle line, indicating a weak short-term trend.
The bears are still in control, but momentum is weakening. The MACD histogram shows that the downward momentum is weaker than in previous days, indicating that although the price is still falling, the selling pressure is not as strong as before.
The RSI is around 46, not yet in the oversold zone, suggesting there may be further downside potential.
On the hourly chart, the price is being suppressed by a descending trendline, with resistance around 69200. If it cannot break above this level, the rebound will be limited.
The Fear & Greed Index has fallen to around 10, indicating extreme fear, suggesting that retail investors are panicked. Interestingly, institutions seem to have stayed—data shows that Bitcoin ETFs saw a net inflow of $1.3 billion in March, and whales have cumulatively bought over 40,000 BT.
Retail investors are selling at a loss, while institutions are accumulating shares. This contrarian signal historically often indicates that the market is nearing its bottom.
Upside resistance: 69000-70000
Downside support: 67000-66000
Short-term trend is slightly weak and volatile, like being pulled back and forth within a "range," lacking a clear direction. The overall structure remains bearish. Institutions are quietly accumulating, but retail investor confidence is weak, making further declines possible! Be aware of the risks.
#CZ says Bitcoin is a hard asset #Trump's 48-hour ultimatum
{future}(BTCUSDT)