Where is the bottom in sentiment? Where is the lifeline for institutions? If you want to "buy the dip," do you understand the core divergence contradictions? ⚠️Recommended to save this! ▌BTC "Volume-Price Divergence" and "Time-Space Game" ╰┈✦Daily Chart (Support Game): Currently, there is a bullish divergence in OBV. Prices are declining, but funds are not panicking and withdrawing, which means that the chips are undergoing "passive turnover," rather than a "trend collapse." ╰┈✦Weekly Chart (Oversold Confirmation): The MACD has returned to the level of the deep bear market in 2022, indicating that the medium-to-long-term momentum indicators have bottomed out. OBV being higher than EMA confirms that this is a "high-level pullback with decreasing volume." As long as it doesn't break below key moving averages with high volume, this drop may be a deep shakeout. ╰┈✦Monthly Chart (Potential Hidden Dangers): The monthly OBV death cross is the core pain point. This suggests that if the closing price this month fails to recover, the large-scale capital flow will shift from bullish to bearish, preparing for months of wide-range fluctuations. ▌Point of Divergence Between Bulls and Bears ╰┈✦Bullish Logic: Bottom divergence support. Daily/weekly capital flows are significantly stronger than price performance, a typical high-level accumulation or shakeout. The 74k chart provides strong support. ╰┈✦Bearish Logic: Cyclical exhaustion. The monthly death cross means that even if the price rebounds, due to insufficient volume in the larger timeframe, it will be difficult to form a confluence of forces to break through 100k, easily leading to a bull trap followed by a gradual decline. ▌Are you willing to gamble? Either this is the final "digging a hole," or it's a medium- to long-term "top." ╰┈✦Scenario A (74k holds): Confirmed as a weekly-level "bear trap shakeout." After the indicators correct, the price will quickly move away from the bottom area, initiating a corrective rebound to correct the monthly death cross. The daily RSI will show oversold divergence, forming a golden pit. ╰┈✦ Scenario B (Breaking below 66k): Confirms a monthly "trend reversal." At this point, the daily divergence becomes invalid, the OBV will experience a precipitous drop, and the market will enter a correction period lasting more than six months. ▌Key Advice: Bolun Point ➠ OBV support strength vs. MACD inertial downward movement. ➫Short-term trading: Closely monitor the 70000 - 74600 range. If the daily close is above this range and the OBV continues to flatten/rise, the success rate of establishing a position on the left side is high. ➫Risk control threshold: Once the price effectively breaks below 66k, all divergence logic becomes invalid, and a right-side reduction plan should be implemented. Losses of 50,000 or 40,000 BTC are possible. $BTC $ETH