Is it a bear market? Looking at the ETH monthly chart, a potential shakeout cannot be ruled out. ┈┈➤BTC Monthly Chart: Signs of a Bear Market First, the MACD is about to form a death cross, although it's not yet confirmed. However, BTC's candlestick pattern does resemble that of 2021. Therefore, BTC does show signs of a bear market. ┈┈➤ETH Monthly Chart: The Possibility of a Shakeout Cannot Be Ruled Out First, the ETH monthly MACD's 4-year cycle seems to have become ineffective. The MACD is... However, ETH's monthly chart is different. After the golden cross in May 2023, there was one death cross followed by another golden cross. Second, compared to ETH's decline from December 2021 to January 2022, the drop was much larger, indicating a true bear market. However, the decline from September to January 2025 may be smaller, and there were upward tests and rebounds in September and October, with shorter candlestick bodies. Let's look at the trading volume. Recent trading volume is significantly higher than during December 2021 to January 2022. Higher trading volume, but a relatively smaller price drop, also raises the possibility of a shakeout or accumulation phase. ┈┈➤ In conclusion Because BTC and ETH have shown some divergence in performance, I can't say for sure it's a shakeout, but I can't rule out the possibility. Altcoins are a different story. Manage your positions carefully! According to Fibonacci, BTC's recent rise from 74458 in April to 126230 has now broken below the second 38.2% retracement level (106,453). The next support level might be around the 50% retracement, which is 100344. ETH's rise from 1385 to 4954 also broke below the 38.2% support level (3,591). The next support level might be around 3169. Purely applying theory might not be accurate. In short, everyone should be rational and avoid being overly emotional. In addition, Brother Bee only has one chat group for everyone to discuss and support each other. https://t.me/+vRgdF7KkSRsyZDFl Brother Bee himself is already losing a fortune, so he wouldn't have the audacity or the guts to create a paid group! Don't believe anyone impersonating Brother Bee to create a paid group!

My Northeastern guy ($DBR) is going public on Coinbase! There's no such thing as the coolest, only cooler! Listed on the Korean exchange Bithumb in the first half of the year, and on the US exchange Coinbase in the second half. There are more major exchanges to look forward to. Debridge's style is truly steady and steady, taking one step at a time, gradually releasing positive news!

Good news! The US CPI data for September is positive. Except for the annual CPI rate, the other three CPI indicators were all below expectations and lower than the previous reading. The annual CPI rate was 0.1 percentage point higher than the previous reading, but still lower than expected. Furthermore, this indicator is not seasonally adjusted, so it's not very accurate. Overall, the CPI data is positive.

CZ is now free, having been pardoned by Trump. On the other hand, SBF remains in prison, and Trump has refused to pardon him. All I can say is that Trump clearly knows right from wrong!

Somewhat bullish ┈┈➤Kezhou: Every rally is a pullback Since October, there have been large bullish candlesticks, including October 1st, Monday, October 6th, and Monday, October 13th. BTC briefly reached 108k at the time of posting. ┈┈➤Industry Insider: Stablecoin Increased Issuance On October 19th, at 8:27 AM, 1 billion USDT was issued on Ethereum four hours ago. The increase in USDT issuance may indicate increased market demand. It is also a possible signal of an upward trend. ┈┈➤US Stocks: Likely to Exceed Expectations Some US-listed companies have released their third-quarter earnings reports. Currently, 81 US-listed companies have released their earnings reports, including: 64 companies performed better than expected, with the highest EPS exceeding expectations by 400%. 16 companies performed worse than expected, with the worst EPS falling short by -950%. The average EPS of these 81 companies exceeded expectations by 16.22%. ┈┈➤ Macroeconomics: Temporarily stable, with some uncertainty An interest rate cut on October 30th is certain. Trump said he would meet with senior officials from the University of Tokyo within two weeks. The University of Tokyo has generally remained rational and has not changed its policy, so the likelihood of Trump changing his mind next week is low. The two sides will likely meet at the APEC summit in South Korea from October 30th to November 1st. It seems the University of Tokyo is showing great sincerity in the negotiations and acting rationally. Although Trump wants to sanction the University of Tokyo, the following applies: First, from the perspective of the University of Tokyo, it does have some leverage. Second, from the US perspective, import tariffs are too high, which is not good news for US prices. The US-China trade war is also bearish for US stocks, and Trump is still under some pressure. Third, from a fiscal perspective, Trump has already collected over $40 billion in additional tariffs for the US federal government by the end of September this year. Therefore, any further concessions on tariffs will not hurt the US. Fourth, from a political perspective, whether the US wants to sanction the University of Tokyo or relocate manufacturing, neither is likely to happen during Trump's term. So, overall, the likelihood of a breakdown in the talks seems low. Of course, this remains uncertain.

Bitcoin ETF fund flows are a lagging signal of sentiment amplification. 1. ETFs are not dominating BTC. 2. ETF sentiment amplification may signal a periodic correction. We continue to combine daily ETF fund inflow data with daily price fluctuations. This time, we focus on the period after July 1, 2025, which allows for a clearer picture. ┈┈➤ Bitcoin ETF fund flows and price fluctuations Focus on the July 2025 rally: In Phase 1, ETF fund flows (blue) tracked the daily price fluctuations (orange). In Phase 2, ETF fund flows (blue) exceeded the daily price fluctuations (orange). During this phase, BTC's rise slowed (the orange line remained above the horizontal axis, indicating continued growth, but the increase was smaller). However, ETF fund flows (blue) continued to accelerate. In Phase 3, BTC fell (the orange line fell below the horizontal axis), but ETF inflows continued to accelerate. In Phase 4, BTC resumed its upward trend, but ETFs experienced net outflows. The current wave started in October, and stages ①, ②, and ③ are generally similar to those in July.

Bitcoin ETF fund flows are a lagging signal of sentiment amplification. 1. ETFs are not dominating BTC. 2. ETF sentiment amplification may signal a periodic correction. We continue to combine daily ETF fund inflow data with daily price fluctuations. This time, we focus on the period after July 1, 2025, which allows for a clearer picture. ┈┈➤ Bitcoin ETF fund flows and price fluctuations Focus on the July 2025 rally: In Phase 1, ETF fund flows (blue) tracked the daily price fluctuations (orange). In Phase 2, ETF fund flows (blue) exceeded the daily price fluctuations (orange). During this phase, BTC's rise slowed (the orange line remained above the horizontal axis, indicating continued growth, but the increase was smaller). However, ETF fund flows (blue) continued to accelerate. In Phase 3, BTC fell (the orange line fell below the horizontal axis), but ETF inflows continued to accelerate. In Phase 4, BTC resumed its upward trend, but ETFs experienced net outflows. The current wave started in October, and stages ①, ②, and ③ are generally similar to those in July.

ETH has returned to 4,000. A large bullish candlestick, like a middle finger raised by the market makers...

The U has gone up. To prevent people from blaming the USD exchange rate, I also checked USD withdrawals. The withdrawal price for 1 U is $1.005. Some people are still debating whether to buy the dip. Brother Feng bought some $APT and $ATH, and a small amount of others. My position is currently 83% full. To prevent aftershocks, Brother Feng never goes all-in.

Why do I feel like 312? Almost every coin has grown a needle. But this IOTX, why did it become zero? 😭😭😭