"AAVE positively breaks through 324 USD? The huge amount of chips piled up indicates that a 10% increase is imminent. If you miss it, you may be in trouble!"
[Summary in one sentence]
AAVE is currently priced at 306, which is close to the upper Bollinger band, but RSI 70 is in the overbought zone but no divergence has occurred; the 324-328 area is the largest trading band in 2 weeks (POC 324.8). If it breaks through with large volume, it can be chased to 335-358; otherwise, it can be bought at a low price if it falls back to the support of 301-297. Stop loss ±2%, profit and loss ratio above 1:2, beware of the risk of long position liquidation caused by the contract position falling for 5 consecutive days and the funding rate returning to zero.
【Key intervals and volume distribution】
1. Value anchoring area: POC 324.8 (934k transactions), long and short balance; upper HVN 328.5/329.4, lower HVN 320.2/321.1 are buffers.
2. Low volume gap: upper LVN 335.9–337.8 (transactions <45k) is the breakthrough acceleration zone; lower LVN 275.8–282.3 is the retracement vacuum zone.
3. 70% volume coverage area: 297–332, the current price is at the upper edge, short-term overbought.
4. Momentum verification: Up Volume 46% near POC, long and short tug-of-war; if 1h Up Vol >60% and breaks through 325 with large volume, the bulls are dominant.
【Market Cycle】
The medium-term long structure is intact (3M rose 85%), and the short-term entered a high-level shock; the contract OI fell for 7 consecutive days (-5.4%), and the long positions were reduced but not panicked, which was regarded as "upward relay wash".
【Trading Strategy】
Aggressive: light position to try long at the current price of 306-308, stop loss 301 (the lower edge of the recent HVN), target 324-328, profit and loss ratio ≈3.2.
Steady: Wait for the retracement of 297-301 (VAL area) to appear 15m engulfing positive line with Up Volume>60%, stop loss 295, target 320-324, profit and loss ratio ≈2.5.
Conservative: If the 1h volume breaks through 325, retracement to 323-324 without breaking, go long, stop loss 320, target 335-340, profit and loss ratio ≈2.8.
Strategy failure: If it falls below 295 or RSI 4h top divergence is confirmed, stop loss immediately.
[LP market making suggestions]
Place dual-currency market making in the 297–332 range:
• The buy order concentration area 297–301 and the sell order concentration area 324–328 overlap with the VPVR high transaction area, with small slippage;
• The contract funding rate is 0.01%, with no significant funding cost;
• The range volatility ATR≈9, setting a 2% grid width can capture 70% of intraday fluctuations.
Like and follow to get real-time updates!
Thanks: @Advertising Position for providing the base model service!
$AAVE
{spot}(AAVEUSDT)