Pessimists are right. Optimists succeed. After scrolling through Twitter, I feel incredibly heavy-hearted. Seeing @justlovejk3, the model citizen who gifted me a gram of gold, express his deep disappointment with the crypto world. Deeply disappointed by the street-level arguments between the two exchanges. Seeing so many people get liquidated. As a 10-year crypto user, I've never felt so heartbroken. In 2025, I too am deeply immersed in the crypto narrative, and my opinions have become more cautious, especially regarding market downturns. I predicted OKB's top using mystical methods, and I was right, but I didn't keep talking about it on Twitter because I always felt I was too pessimistic about the crypto world; I had no faith, and perhaps I misjudged it. I was full of hope for Ethereum, and I didn't sell even when I was profitable because subjective information influenced me. I once thought Ethereum would reach $8,000, but I was wrong. Being right or wrong in a prediction isn't scary; what's scary is how you act. Previously, I always felt that letting users miss out on gains was my biggest dereliction of duty; I felt I had let my customers down. But today, after reading Twitter, I realize that letting users lose money is far more serious than missing out. In the past, I was consistently pessimistic. For a period in 2025, I was overly optimistic, and I deeply apologize to those who suffered losses because of my optimism. I'm sorry. Actually, after the Bitcoin divination for December 2025 came out, I really wanted to tell the truth, but I could only say euphemistically that although the Bitcoin divination was paid, the title revealed the outcome of the first half of the year. But I still feel I was too pessimistic; perhaps I misjudged. So I held onto my BNB, didn't liquidate it, and it dropped significantly. I'm writing this with very mixed feelings. I just want to say, if you make money, withdraw it, withdraw it, withdraw it. Every time you lose money, withdraw; when you make money, withdraw; force a withdrawal. Don't believe anyone anymore. The opinions you see, including those from the Golden Rabbit, unless explicitly stated by Qimen Dunjia, are not necessarily the truth. Divination analysis might be wrong, but it's always true. However, other opinions within the cryptocurrency world can't be entirely truthful, because even I, like many others, am influenced. I have things I care about, things I need, and having those concerns makes objectivity impossible. We'll embellish anything you see. Even I myself would buy into something worthless based on what I write; how much more so would you? Therefore, always use your judgment. If you see any positive news, read it and then let it go. If you hold onto it, you won't sell when prices fall. You might be bearish, but you won't dare follow your instincts. Also, never trade futures contracts. Thoroughly research the funding rates for cryptocurrency futures contracts. Don't trade gold or silver futures contracts in the cryptocurrency market. The funding rates are terrifying; you'll feel pressured. If you're bullish on gold and silver, buy spot. If you're not, don't try to profit from this, especially not in the cryptocurrency market. Funding rates are a very real issue. Keep things light, invest only spare cash, and maintain a healthy cash flow. I sensed danger when Musk limited cryptocurrency liquidity. Each restriction, in many ways, is actually protecting us. After seeing so many public chains emerge and then go to zero, I lost all desire to bring my friends and acquaintances into this market. Don't exchanges know they don't need so many public chains? Everyone cooperates, hypes each other up, raises funds, gets listed on exchanges with high TVL (total value), and then goes to zero, but no industry leaders stand up to point out these fake public chains. Today, we must use our judgment when judging anything said by any crypto bigwigs. They have to say the market is good because if we leave, how will they make money? So, we must use our judgment to analyze. I will never trust anyone again. I am just a small pawn, an undervalued pawn. Looking back, this is a good thing. If the bigwigs valued me too much, more people would probably be hurt by my optimism. Winter is here, and in the end, it's Bitcoin again. May you be well, may you avoid leverage, may you remain independent, and may you exercise your own judgment. The crypto pessimists survive. Most optimists fare poorly, while a small minority are lucky enough to make a fortune.