My assessment of ETH has always been clear. In the next truly trending bull market, Ethereum outperforming Bitcoin is highly probable. From an exchange rate perspective, 0.05 is a crucial dividing line. If Bitcoin reaches 150,000, then Ethereum around 7,500 would be a reasonable range. If Bitcoin falls, Ethereum will almost certainly follow suit; however, once Bitcoin bottoms out and sentiment improves, Ethereum's rebound will be much stronger and more resilient. I prefer to consider the 1383.26 price level as the starting point of this new trend. The current pullback is essentially a technical correction of the main upward wave from 1383 to 4956, and it has already retraced to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. As long as 2620 holds, looking towards 7700+ is entirely reasonable; with a better market sentiment, 8600+ is not out of the question. Of course, if it really breaks new lows, then we should start over; there's no need to stubbornly stick to our opinions. As for why I always say 99%, the reason is simple—there are too many absolute opinions on Twitter. Trading is about leaving yourself room for maneuver. Just like position management, you always need to keep some cash on hand. The overall trend remains bullish on Bitcoin, but once the direction is confirmed, Ethereum will most likely be the most volatile asset in the next market cycle. #ETH