Bitcoin has plummeted again! Where will it fall this time? Is there still a bull market?
✅ Let's look at the short term first.
After a structural and liquidity sweep, we await confirmation. BTC is currently near a support zone and liquidity pool, having previously completed a "sweep down + break down + pullback" pattern. If a solid structural reversal, increased volume, and a bullish confirmation candlestick pattern (similar to a successful CHoCH + OB/FVG pullback) appear next, a short-term rebound is possible.
If it's just a brief technical rebound without volume and structural support, the market may continue to fluctuate or even break down.
📉 Medium-term trend
If the structure is broken, there is still downside potential.
If BTC breaks below the $80,000 support zone, it may bottom out at $70,000-$75,000, especially if overall market risk appetite deteriorates further/traditional assets continue to retreat.
During this phase, be wary of variables such as leveraged liquidation, further capital outflows, and institutional investor hesitancy, which could exert secondary downward pressure on prices.
📈 Medium- to Long-Term Trend: Depends on Macroeconomic Factors and Liquidity.
If global liquidity improves, macroeconomic policies loosen, and institutions/ETFs resume entry, BTC/crypto assets may decouple from risk assets, diverging from traditional assets and ushering in a new round of gains—a target of $110,000–$130,000 or even higher.
However, this hinges on: structural confirmation + improved liquidity + large-scale capital participation.
⚠️ Risks and Recommendations: The current structure has not yet confirmed a reversal; it is not recommended to blindly chase the bottom/take heavy positions. Trading volume, liquidity, and macroeconomic policies are sensitive; negative news could quickly break support levels.
It is recommended to invest in batches and strictly control risk, setting stop-loss orders/managing funds to avoid heavy pressure from a single point.
BTC is currently at a critical juncture – if it can hold the $80,000–$90,000 range and see structural and volume confirmation, it presents a buying opportunity; if it falls below this level, the potential for a significant pullback should not be underestimated. At this moment, stability and patience are more important than impulsiveness.
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