The biggest risk in the market isn't your inability to predict the market, but your lack of focus on position sizing, or in other words, risk management. I see many people prioritize prediction over risk management.
One is something you can influence, and the other is something you can't. It's like insisting on doing questions you don't know how to answer on an exam, then worrying about whether they're right or wrong. It's also like insisting on cooking food you've never cooked before, regardless of whether it tastes good or not. It's like pursuing a girl you don't like!
You don't do questions you know how to answer, you don't cook dishes you know how to cook, and you don't pursue a girl who loves you and is waiting for you. Is that right?
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