多空在关键位前的博弈,本质是对三大支撑(宏观、资金、基本面)有效性的测试。短期震荡是等待美联储决议这枚“发令枪”。决议后,市场将依据两点选择方向:一是政策是比预期更“鸽”还是更“鹰”;二是价格对关键位(BTC 94k-95k, ETH 3300)的突破结果。同时,以太坊升级的链上数据是影响其相对强度的独立变量。交易需等待这些信号明朗。
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