#Bitcoin - 500-Day Bitcoin Strategy Recommends Selling Your Bitcoin Immediately
How It Works:
1) Buy Bitcoin 500 days before the halving
2) Hold, do nothing
3) Sell 500 days after the halving
4) Repeat
Bitcoin will have completed 500 days after the halving on September 1, 2025.
Does this mean the market has peaked?
Look at the data below:
In 2013, Bitcoin peaked at $1,177, but the strategy issued a sell signal around $413.
In 2017, Bitcoin peaked at $19,764, but the strategy issued a sell signal around $8,202.
In 2021, Bitcoin peaked at $68,994, but the strategy issued a sell signal around $43,547.
This means that Bitcoin can sometimes continue to move higher even when the strategy issues a sell signal.
In other cases, such as 2013, the strategy was too late, as BTC peaked 500 days earlier.
However, on the buy side, the strategy has been very accurate in identifying prices near cycle bottoms.
As of September 1, 2025, the strategy again issued a signal to sell Bitcoin for this cycle at $108,558.
This may not be the absolute top, and Bitcoin could still break above its current peak of $124,501, but at some point in this bear market, it will likely fall below the $108,000 sell price.
According to the strategy, we are likely very close to the top, and Bitcoin may soon reach its peak.
Now is the time to remain vigilant, manage risk, and prepare for the next move.