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Jamie Coutts CMT
Crypto Newbie
09-03 01:23
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BTC's weekly chart shows a triple bearish RSI divergence—momentum is draining. This is why I've been talking about the next round of central bank liquidity stimulus. I've seen this play out in the stock market: divergences signaled vulnerability during the Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM) crisis in 1998, the 2008 global financial crisis (when I was covering Asian markets—that's when I discovered it), and again in early 2020. This pattern itself isn't a sell signal; it's a warning that the trend engine is losing steam. The solution lies in macroeconomics. Bitcoin is a liquid asset. If policymakers open the spigot, the uptrend will resume. If they don't, the trend risks reversal. Key Point: Respect divergences, but be mindful of liquidity. Open spigot → rally. Closed spigot → reversal risk. My base case: The spice must flow.
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