Which indicators can help analyze market volatility? 💥💥💥
According to Mlion.ai analysis, based on the current market environment in July 2025, the following indicator system can effectively help traders analyze and predict market volatility:
📊 Core volatility indicators
1. Average True Range (ATR)
The most practical volatility measurement tool:
- Calculate the average value of price fluctuations within a certain period
- ATR increase indicates increased volatility, and the opposite is true for decreases
- Used to set dynamic stop loss: stop loss distance = ATR × 2-3 times
- Practical application: Reduce positions when ATR > 20-day average, and increase positions appropriately when ATR < 20-day average
2. Bollinger Bands
The perfect combination of volatility and trend:
- The distance between the upper and lower rails reflects the current volatility
- Price touching the upper rail indicates high volatility, and touching the lower rail indicates low volatility
- Key signal: The narrowing of the Bollinger Bands indicates that a big market is coming
- Trading strategy: layout during low volatility periods, reduce positions during high volatility periods
3. VIX panic index (crypto version)
Thermometer of market sentiment:
- Measures market expectations for volatility in the next 30 days
- VIX > 30 indicates market panic, usually a buying opportunity
- VIX < 15 indicates that the market is too optimistic and needs to be cautious
- Features of 2025: With the entry of institutional funds, the overall level of VIX has declined
🔍 Technical analysis indicator combination
4. Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Accurate judgment of overbought and oversold:
- RSI > 70 and price hits a new high = top divergence, volatility may decline
- RSI < 30 and price hits a new low = bottom divergence, the probability of rebound increases
- Volatility application: When RSI oscillates around 50, it is usually accompanied by high volatility
5. MACD momentum indicator
Early signals of trend changes:
- MACD histogram contraction indicates a decrease in volatility
- The increase in trading volume accompanied by the golden cross and dead cross indicates an increase in volatility
- Practical skills: MACD divergence often indicates that large-scale fluctuations are coming
6. Volume indicator (OBV)
True reflection of capital flow:
- Price increase and volume increase = healthy rise, volatility is sustainable
- Price increase and volume reduction = false breakthrough, high volatility is unsustainable
- Key signal: abnormal volume is often accompanied by high volatility
📈 Advanced volatility analysis tool
Source: mlion.ai