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高盛推后美联储降息预期至年底,下调美国衰退可能性
币圈吹哨人
币圈吹哨人
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5 月 13 日,高盛将其预期的美联储下一次降息的时间调整至 12 月(此前预期为 7 月)。


高盛分析师表示:「鉴于情况发展以及上个月金融环境显著宽松,我们将美国 2025 年第四季度的经济增长年率预测上调 0.5 个百分点至 1%,并将未来 12 个月出现经济衰退的可能性降至 35%。同时,我们已下调核心个人消费支出(PCE)通胀路径预期,预计其峰值为 3.6%(此前预期为 3.8%)。」

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