The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, but the market didn't surge; instead, it remained in a tug-of-war. This is partly because the previous rise had already priced in the positive news, and partly because subsequent market sentiment had tightened.
It's been a while since my last update. I've been quite busy lately and haven't been trading much. Now I'm back in Dubai.
Overall, the market trend is as predicted: after the September rate cut, major players used it for a major shakeout, resulting in two consecutive months of declines. Those who dared to call a bull market gradually disappeared, and only now is the market showing signs of improvement.
This shakeout was very deep. BTC fell from 126,199 to 80,600, a drop of up to 36%; ETH fell from 4956 to 2623, a drop of up to 46%; other altcoins fared even worse.
The market will gradually recover, but 2026 will likely be a slow bull market; you can hardly imagine a market without a major surge. Moreover, 80% of cryptocurrencies may follow the declines but not the rises—it's time to test your foresight.
The reason is simple: the Federal Reserve's interest rates won't be drastically lowered in the short term, which means there won't be a massive flood of money into the market.
Recent conversations with people in the industry have mostly been cautiously optimistic, but they're preparing for a downturn, prioritizing conservatism and survival.
Therefore, what I said before still holds true: exercise, work hard, buy on dips, accumulate assets—treat it like a one-year fixed deposit.
Having worked in this industry for eight years, I've seen people achieve financial freedom; they're all people who can endure loneliness, even to the point of self-"brainwashing"—brainwashing here is a positive term; people need belief, and belief truly needs to be cultivated within oneself first.









