#BTC #ETH The market is currently experiencing a significant drop, causing widespread panic. Here are my thoughts for your reference:
Firstly, the first wave after a trend emerges from a period of consolidation is the most difficult to pinpoint. Successfully identifying the top or bottom is incredibly rewarding, but attempting to do so will likely involve several failed attempts.
Secondly, based on my experience with left-side trading, specifically regarding the cryptocurrency market, I believe it's nearing its bottom. There might be one last sharp drop, but it won't be too significant, likely falling to between 65 and 68, followed by a rapid rebound, ultimately forming a consolidation range of approximately 65 to 78.
What remains uncertain is the performance of the US stock market, which is currently still at a high level. In a consolidation phase, cryptocurrency price movements typically precede those of the US stock market. If the US stock market breaks below its consolidation range, the cryptocurrency market will likely fare poorly, but it should initially show more resilience than the US stock market. It will then gradually decline in small increments, following the US stock market's downward trend, at which point Bitcoin might reach around 58. Subsequently, the cryptocurrency market will rebound first, ultimately forming another trading range, roughly between 58 and 75.
In other words, the bottom of the next trading range is currently uncertain, but the top is likely to be around 75. If the US stock market breaks below its consolidation range and accelerates its decline, then Bitcoin's bottom will be around 58. If the US stock market does not weaken, Bitcoin's bottom will be around 65.







