Is that all there is to it?
Which trader is making this prediction?
Unless oil prices and inflation continue to rise,
there's no possibility of an interest rate hike.
But the situation is contradictory.
Unemployment is also rising. Ordinary people have no wages, yet prices are so high—how are they supposed to survive?
Personally, I feel that oil prices will gradually return to normal after the war ends.
This year is a year of observation; the possibility of an interest rate hike is extremely small. Similarly, the expectation of an interest rate cut is also very small, and even if it happens, the number of cuts and the base effect will certainly be low.
Therefore, don't expect a major price movement for Bitcoin this year.