Risk: A War of Attrition Even against the combined military might of Israel and the United States, Iran possesses three inescapable assets: its land area, its geographical location, and its history. These all embody the resilience of the Iranian people and the country's strategic depth. These conditions alone allow us to exercise humility regarding the speed at which meaningful strategic objectives can be achieved in Iran. The scale of operational cooperation between Israel and the United States is unprecedented, and the results in striking Iranian capabilities are significant. However, the true measure of success will ultimately depend on the strategic objectives set by Washington and Jerusalem for this operation. If, as some have suggested yesterday, the objective is to influence Iran's political trajectory or its post-war policies, then it is difficult to imagine achieving this under the current regime without a protracted and potentially endless conflict. Furthermore, despite the remarkable success of the operations targeting Iran's missile infrastructure, knowledge cannot be destroyed. Even if Iran's missile program suffers a major setback, its long-term capacity for rebuilding remains. The technology and the drive endure. When strategic objectives are overly ambitious or unrealistic, even a successful military operation can gradually degenerate into a war of attrition. To avoid this, clear and realistic objectives must be established—objectives that are measurable and have a clearly defined end point. Consolidating and formalizing these gains may require diplomatic means. Military strikes could significantly weaken Iran's capabilities. But as long as the Iranian regime and its people continue to demonstrate resilience, the operation will continue. The more this dynamic is likely to evolve into a protracted war of attrition, the greater the pressure on Middle Eastern economies and societies. #IranWar
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