On January 14th, Sanma Ge (a popular online commentator) participated in an AMA (Ask Me Anything) session with Binance founder (and China's richest man) CZ on Binance Square. The core topics revolved around Bitcoin cycles, trading advice, and industry positives. A summary of the Q&A is as follows:
Sanma Ge's Core Questions
1. Has the Bitcoin supercycle begun? Can trading still be done according to the traditional four-year cycle theory in 2026?
2. What operational advice do you have for young traders and industry professionals?
3. Is South Korea's opening of cryptocurrency trading to listed companies a long-term positive?
CZ's Response
1. The supercycle has arrived, and the traditional four-year cycle theory is no longer applicable. Previously, Bitcoin's four-year bull-bear cycle was very clear, but 2026 is different—the US has introduced many policies friendly to cryptocurrencies, and this year is a presidential election year, so the government will focus on stabilizing the stock market. This force has a greater impact than the traditional cycle, so this year will not be a bear market. CZ stated that his predictions on the short-term trends of specific coins may be wrong and should not be considered investment advice.
2. It is advisable not to rigidly adhere to the old four-year cycle approach, but to pay close attention to new policy and market developments; young traders should avoid blind speculation, rationally assess risks, and prioritize compliant trading.
3. South Korea's opening of cryptocurrency trading to listed companies is a long-term positive trend for the industry and is undoubtedly a significant boon.