$LUNC 现在就是个区间震荡的局面。价格在0.00004431和0.0000498之间来回磨。 技术面看,锤子线配合短期均线向上突破,形成了看涨共振。但是成交量极度萎缩,这个信号强度就大打折扣了。更关键的是,价格上涨但量能跟不上,典型的量价背离。这种上涨基本没什么支撑,回调风险挺大的。 市场还是空头排列,长期趋势偏空。短期虽然有点动能,但能不能突破0.0000477这个关键阻力位还得看。 外部环境基本中性,恐贪指数也没什么极端情绪。宏观面暂时没啥压力,消息面多空交织,利好利空都有,整体比较复杂。 策略上,如果要做可以考虑两个方向。一是在0.0000485附近做空到0.0000455,止损设在0.0000492。二是等回调到0.0000443支撑位附近做多到0.000047,止损0.0000438。 不过说实话,这种量价背离的行情我一般不太愿意重仓参与。成交量这么萎缩,随时都可能变盘。
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