December 11, 2025, Short Essay on $BTC
After the expectation of an interest rate cut ended, this market trend is mostly over. The next obvious expectation to be hyped might be the selection of the Federal Reserve Chairman. But this will likely not happen until at least after Christmas. Therefore, I believe the next two weeks will be characterized by a downward correction with fluctuations. Whether it will break the previous low is still uncertain. In my view, breaking it presents a great opportunity for left-side trading. Holding it creates an opportunity for right-side trading. Either way, it's an opportunity; it just depends on whether you can control your fear and dare to buy in batches during the decline. If you can, you deserve to profit. If not, that's understandable; just look for right-side trading opportunities later.
I have set the 92,000 level as the dividing line between bullish and bearish sentiment. Before the price breaks through this level, it's a short-selling opportunity. If the price breaks through and holds above this level, it indicates that the bulls still intend to lure more buyers. At that time, shorting should be done with caution.
Generally, sharp drops are followed by rebounds, so the next two days will likely be dominated by rebounds. As for the strength of the rebound, it's impossible to estimate at this point. However, I can set another dividing line: 90700. If this level is effectively broken, then the rebound is valid. If the price encounters resistance and falls back, breaking through today's low, then the market will become very weak. Although there may be further rebounds, the upside potential is unlikely to be significant.
In short, I personally believe the price won't drop immediately. There should be a bullish counterattack, but it's unlikely to be a genuine upward move; it's more likely a bull trap. In short, establish your short positions in batches at higher levels. If the price starts a major downward correction from around 94500, reaching the range of 86600-87500 shouldn't be a problem. #CryptoMarketRebound #BitDigitalTransformation #FOMCMeeting