关于预测市场交易量的争论忽略了真正的问题所在。@opinionlabsxyz 正在蚕食 Kalshi 和 Polymarket 的市场份额。 上周,Opinion 的交易量达到了 14 亿美元,占预测市场现货交易量的 34%。而 10 月份这一比例仅为 8%。 交易量的激增源于 OPINION 积分系统。随着用户基数的增长,早期交易者可以获得更高的积分倍数。 现在的问题很简单:Opinion 能否打破双寡头垄断的局面?
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