当老 OG 开始怀念某个赛道的“黄金时代”, 往往说明他们已经跑不动了。 新的玩法还没建立优势, 只能回忆当年轻松赚钱的日子。 这其实是一个很好的指标: 当一个赛道人人都知道怎么赚钱时 就只有非常少数人能赚到钱了。 没有增量,只能互 P, 圈子越小,抱团越紧, 最后剩下的只是内耗。 白名单就是最典型的例子: 从“稳赚”到“偶尔赚”, 再到“割白名单”, 直到——彻底没白名单效应。
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