The main point in today's space is that it is now driven by "events". Each event affects the US monetary policy by affecting data, thereby affecting the trend of the risk market.
For example, increasing European tariffs by 25% should have nothing to do with Bitcoin, but European tariffs are intended to check and balance support for Ukraine. The end of the Russian-Ukraine war can hedge US inflation and tariffs to Canada and Mexico. If they can provide support for interest rate cuts, they will become able to support liquidity, which indirectly affects investor sentiment and investment willingness.
Events often have strong uncertainty, so events will interfere with the trend in the short term. But the general trend is bound to be a shift from monetary tightening to monetary easing. It's nothing more than events that affect the time of the process, but it's difficult to change this result.
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