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美国丧失三大信用机构顶级评级,穆迪将美国信用评级由Aaa下调至Aa1
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5 月 18 日,5 月 16 日穆迪将美国信用评级从 Aaa 下调至 Aa1,展望调整为「稳定」。下调原因是政府债务和利息支付比率持续上升,财政赤字预计到 2035 年将接近 GDP 的 9%。这是穆迪自 1917 年以来首次下调美国评级,美国也因此失去三大信用评级机构的所有 AAA 顶级评级。


穆迪曾在 2023 年 11 月将美国信用评级展望从「稳定」调整为「负面」,但维持 Aaa 评级不变。理由包括债务负担增加、利息成本上升以及财政赤字缺乏有效控制。


标普在 2011 年已将美国评级从 AAA 下调至 AA+,此后未有进一步变化。近两年标普对美国维持 AA+ 评级,展望为「稳定」。标普在 2011 年下调时的理由包括政治僵局和财政赤字问题,近期评论表示将继续关注债务增长和政治分歧。


惠誉在 2023 年 5 月 24 日将美国 AAA 评级置于「负面观察」状态,警告债务上限危机可能导致违约风险。并在 2023 年 8 月 1 日将美国评级从 AAA 下调至 AA+,展望为「稳定」。下调原因是预计未来三年财政状况恶化、债务负担高企(债务/GDP 预计 2025 年达 118.4%)以及治理能力侵蚀(债务上限僵局反复)。近年惠誉未进一步调整评级,维持 AA+ 和「稳定」展望。

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