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QCP:外汇动荡成宏观预警「金丝雀」,市场或迎方向性选择
沐阳
沐阳
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加密之眼
05-06 16:39
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5 月 6 日,QCP Capital 发布每日报告表示,目前,加密市场的隐含波动率仍被压制,短端波动率偏斜正回归中性,现货价格基本无明显方向。


与此同时,外汇市场的动荡与周一黄金近 3% 的上涨形成呼应,投资者正在押注美元走弱,并开始为地缘政治风险溢价定价,其中包括潜在的美国贸易外交活动。


我们可能迎来一轮波动性冲击,比特币可能与黄金的避险逻辑脱钩,重新与更广泛的风险资产联动;


在一个相关性逐渐瓦解的市场环境中,外汇市场或再次成为宏观经济风险的「金丝雀」(比喻早期预警信号)。

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