If you can't make money on Bitcoin and Ethereum, there's no point in investing in altcoins. The wild swings in altcoins make it seem like "one easy wave leads to financial freedom." But the reality is, the easier something looks, the more it tests your fundamentals. Without targeted training and a solid foundation, unnecessary losses will occur frequently. Losses caused by market manipulation and poor performance can occur faster and more frequently than you might expect.

"Hold on" #BNB spot is the most analyst-like statement I've made this year. Next, when the BNB price reaches 985 and 1000 (psychologically significant levels), I'll take a small profit to reduce the pressure of holding the position and raise my stop-loss accordingly. If the price accelerates to these two levels and triggers a top divergence signal, I'll consider a short position on the "left side" of the contract.

Bitcoin #BITCOIN has been experiencing extreme volatility on the 1-hour chart lately. In the past five days alone, it has seen eight overbought and three oversold signals. If you're a short-term trader, you can expect daily opportunities, both long and short, which is truly delightful. But if you're like me and hold a long position on the 4-hour chart, you don't have much room to maneuver. You can only hold onto your position and wait and see.

The Cup and Handle pattern = a one-sided rise + a pullback + a buildup of momentum + a breakout. The formation process of the Cup and Handle pattern is as follows: the price first experiences a pullback, slowly bottoming out, and forming a "cup"-like arc. This is a correction and digestion of the previous gains. The price then rebounds to near the previous high, but due to short-term selling pressure, it enters a period of slight sideways trading or a slight decline, forming the "cup and handle." There are two true buying points: 1. When the previous high is broken, the market confirms a re-entry into an uptrend. (This is essentially the same logic as betting on a breakout at the end of a triangle pattern.) 2. If you miss the breakout, you can follow up after a pullback or a rally of no more than 5%. (This is essentially a wide stop-loss, betting on a further upward breakout.) The stop-loss is usually set below the low of the cup and handle (a wide stop-loss is essential).

A little-known fact about the speculative market: Even the Federal Reserve, with its vast trove of high-frequency data and top-tier research resources, isn't omniscient. They don't have clear answers to many questions, so we can only wait and see, awaiting more data... Given this, there's no need for ordinary traders to make blind guesses. The best approach is to wait for the FOMC meeting to conclude and for the market to truly chart a course before making decisions, rather than relying on unfounded speculation. Furthermore, even if you happen to guess correctly this time, it only determines the outcome of a single trade and doesn't determine your long-term performance. What truly determines long-term performance is never luck or a single hit, but rather your overall strategy and consistent execution discipline.

Bitcoin #BITCOIN's 4-hour chart remains unchanged, with the price still fluctuating near the middle of its range. However, the 1-hour chart has already seen several swings between overbought and oversold...

Bullish Engulfing: The engulfing candlestick isn't important; the momentum of the subsequent candlesticks is what matters. Inverted Hammer: No matter how long the shadow is, if the macro-level positioning is off, it's just noise. Gravestone Doji: Bulls and bears are in a state of turmoil; wait for confirmation of a breakout before trading. The candlestick chart itself isn't a panacea. It's only valuable when it meets the three criteria of position, size, and follow-up. Otherwise, it can lead to rote or metaphysical interpretations, such as those about naked candlesticks and institutional liquidity...

Analysis is analysis, and trading is trading; the two are not the same thing. Analysis itself doesn't necessarily require you to place an order immediately; it's more of an independent screening process that helps you identify market opportunities. In contrast, trading is the actual action taken based on analysis. Whether you can execute a trade depends on your understanding of risk, your time commitment, your personality, and your overall trading strategy. Sometimes, opportunities exist objectively, but due to these personal factors, you may choose not to execute them.

#BNB fell below the 4-hour EMA20, prompting a protective take-profit on the spot position. Remaining positions remain open, targeting the $970 and $1000 trend targets.

Trends like #MITO are worth watching, discussing, and analyzing, but not engaging in. Two bullish candlesticks and a doubling of the price easily stimulate dopamine release, leading to thoughts like, "I almost bought in" and "I should have bought in earlier"... The result? Every single one is accurate.