Data shows that Hype's leveraged liquidation volume is 6 times that of Binance and twice that of Bybit. Although Binance has data opacities and doesn't fully disclose its data, it's roughly 2-3 times that of Bybit, essentially on par with Hype.
The dispute between these two leading players, "Old Deng," might have a temporary impact on market prices, and even if they were to liquidate, it wouldn't have a fundamental impact on the industry as a whole; it's not worth watching closely. Their competitors aren't the centralized exchanges (CEXs) themselves. Lower-level gamblers use leveraged contracts, but Hype quickly surpasses them in market share, especially after October when many market makers migrated liquidity from CEXs to on-chain platforms. Higher-level gamblers have moved to prediction markets to demonstrate their reasoning abilities—their "IQ."
When market makers leave, all that's left for CEXs is sentiment, leverage, and old users arguing amongst themselves—a dull, stagnant situation, like the end of a dynasty. The power and resources remain, but the structure is empty. 😑
It's fair to say that the three major Chinese-language CEXs' questionable actions in this market cycle have cost them their future. The October events weren't a turning point, but rather a premature realization that "the old king is not dead, but a new king has already risen."
Once liquidity returns to Base, becoming the primary spot CEX for institutional funds, Hype and prediction markets will continue to erode the "gamblers'" market.
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
{spot}(LDOUSDT)
{spot}(ETHUSDT)
{spot}(BTCUSDT)