Let's talk about #XMR and #ZEC together today: Yesterday, both Monero and Zcash reached the target areas I mentioned before, but the overall volatility was extremely low. I won't be trading in this stagnant market anymore. These levels are more suitable for long-term, gradual accumulation, but completely unsuitable for intraday or swing trading—the efficiency is too low. If the market experiences an out-of-control, rapid sell-off later, I'll consider deeper target levels: for XMR, I'll be watching around $321-$325, which is the one-year average price area; for ZEC, I'll be looking at around $235, corresponding to the strong monthly support zone of $234 that I mentioned before. Besides that, if you think the current prices are cheap and plan to hold long-term, then these two coins are indeed far from their all-time highs and aren't expensive from a long-term perspective. However, personally, my overall sentiment remains bearish, and I'm currently only focusing on short-term trading opportunities.

#ASTER is currently oscillating wildly between $0.53 and $0.60. Trading is strictly prohibited unless there is a valid breakout above either of these levels. This chart remains unsuitable for long positions until a clear macro uptrend emerges. Over the past four months, almost all long positions attempting to bet on a reversal have been severely punished by the market; the trend has been consistently downward. If the key level of $0.53 is breached, there's a high probability of testing $0.50 again. Looking at the current situation, for a true consolidation phase, the price may need to fall further. Only a closing price above $0.60 can temporarily halt the decline. Ideally, bulls would want a period of sideways consolidation; otherwise, neither liquidity nor momentum can support a substantial upward move.

#HYPE rebounded strongly from a local support level, but failed to hold the key level of $35. It did rally for a while, but was immediately pushed back into its original trading range after the breakout. This pattern basically indicates that the price will likely continue to decline until it reclaims $35. Currently, the price is clearly under pressure near the 200-day moving average, and its overall position is far below the moving average, further confirming the larger-scale downtrend. The most crucial factor going forward is whether the local support can hold. If it breaks, it may directly test the area around $28.

#BTC trade profit +1R, long position at the bottom of the current shadow line. Although BTC looks weaker than Ethereum, the timing of this entry was excellent. I set my stop loss at breakeven, so I'm holding the position. If you want to take partial profit, that's perfectly fine, but I'll go all in.

#ETH This trade was perfect! Bottom fishing successful! Setting the stop loss at the break-even point. Currently, there's a 2x unrealized profit, so I'm not worried no matter what happens next.

#BTC 73K BTC = Decision Zone. While many say Bitcoin doesn't rely on support and resistance levels, yesterday's rebound point coincided precisely with the low of April 7, 2025—this is no coincidence. That was a local bottom, note, local, not a major bottom. A further pullback could break that level. Additionally, the 72.5–74.5k range is a crucial weekly support zone for Bitcoin. I've repeatedly mentioned this before; historically, the price has tested and pulled back here multiple times. From the current position, it's indeed a relatively good range for going long. If the price gradually stabilizes, the structure will become clearer. A dip slightly below 70k is possible, but the overall structure will likely remain the same. If BTC is destined for a range-bound market, then I believe the current position is a reasonable lower end of that range.

#ETH Bottom Trading Update: Weekly Support Approaching. I want to kick off 2026 with a "textbook" sniper trade. I currently have a limit buy order for ETH at $2126, waiting for a potential entry opportunity. This is a crucial weekly support level. Ethereum has historically rebounded multiple times from such structurally strong areas. We're already seeing some early signs of bottoming out and range-bound trading, indicating a major move is brewing. The market will likely test a third low, which would be my ideal entry point.

#HYPE is currently one of the strongest performing stocks among the top 15-20 by market capitalization, exhibiting a very resilient trend and avoiding the sharp sell-offs seen in other stocks. The price is currently retracing to a key supply zone from the previous downtrend. Normally, a pullback here would be a bearish signal. However, the issue is its exceptional strength. If it can break through the recent high with significant volume, it could very well trigger the next bull market. The target price is based on the extended range of the previous cycle, $27.41-$34.84, which translates to a potential target around $44. Overall, my outlook for the broader market remains bearish. If I missed the rebound around $23, regardless of the seemingly high probability of success, I would not choose to go long at the current level.

In my opinion, the most reasonable long strategy right now is to focus on #SOL. The first scenario is that the price rebounds back to the key support level of $119, experiences a false break below or pullback to confirm the support, and then pulls back to the upper edge of the range, forming a macro-level low-point rebound. From a risk-reward perspective, this is currently the most cost-effective entry point. Another option is to go long near the 200-week moving average, around $100, which is also a significant macro-level support level since April 2025. However, it's important to note that with the overall trend still downward, unless the key level of $119 is firmly re-established, the probability of success for a hasty long position is usually not very high.

Regarding Zcash (#ZEC), I have an additional target price, this time below 260, specifically 232. Once the price breaks through the 321 range, the 232 target will be invalidated. Interestingly, 232 falls near the 50% retracement level of the monthly bullish candle (around 234), and also coincides with the next important support level after the price broke below the 330-301 bullish support zone.