This week's short-term profit potential was minimal, especially with Sol, which fluctuated within a mere 19 points throughout the week, lacking any continuity between bulls and bears. Compared to July and August, the first week of September certainly offered a significant contrast. However, September is the third month of Q3 and a transition month to Q4, so a small-scale market shakeout is perfectly normal. Interest rate cuts will resume this month, and the pre-cut market shakeout is essentially a dip-buying exercise by major investors, preparing for a rally. Sol's short-term third wave of decline, calculated over the past two days, could have reached a low of 198.1. Last night, it reached a low of around 199.13, confirming that 198 is the low point of the third wave.
Based on daily, weekly, and monthly indicators, Sol remains in a major bullish trend. A monthly golden cross formed over the past two days (one month after ETH's monthly cross), but it hasn't yet taken effect. Needless to say, the power of a monthly golden cross is immense. Remember my posts in early July discussing ETH's monthly golden cross? At the time, the price was around 2700, and it was estimated that this rally would at least bring ETH to around 5500. In July, it reached 3960. Sol's last monthly golden cross occurred in 2021, when the price rose from 1 to 260. The five-month unilateral rise from October 2023 to March 2024, from the 10s to 210, was merely a major uptrend, from the monthly golden cross below zero to the monthly MACD crossing above zero. Therefore, Sol's potential upside after the Fed's resumption of rate cuts is promising. We should initially focus on the 229-233 range. A breakout and a firming there will open up the 257-296 range.
Regardless of what the short-term bears say, we should focus on the broader trend and act accordingly, avoiding counter-trend trading. This will ensure no major problems. This is especially true for spot traders who entered the market at low levels in the first half of the year. It's not too late to sell after the October-November rally.