When people say this, I always wonder what they're thinking, or if they have unrealistic expectations about what $1 billion is actually worth.
I entered the cryptocurrency space at $200. If I had held onto my original Bitcoin since then and never traded, my net worth would be around $300,000.
In contrast, if I had sold highs and bought lows during every Bitcoin cycle since then and never paid any taxes, I would now be worth around $6 million.
If I had invested my entire net worth in the Ethereum ICO and never touched it, my pre-tax net worth would be around $150 million today.
While it's entirely possible to exploit market opportunities to make over $1 billion, these versions of reality also require me to make no mistakes, spend real money, or take excessive risk through leverage.
In reality, I grew up in a working-class family. I didn't have a trust fund, and I had to pay my student loans myself. I worked at Tesco during high school. After graduating from university, I needed to pay rent, living expenses, and eventually, a house.
I worked at startups for relatively meager salaries, and while a few companies did well, they were still illiquid and worthless until someone exited.
Perhaps if I had fixed some of my silly mistakes and losses, or tried harder, my answer today would be different. But hindsight is easy to say. It's easy to see where things could have been done better, and when the past makes it so obvious, the decisions you make seem so foolish.
In reality, I've always strived to enjoy life, not to lose it all. I've never felt like I had a safety net, so I couldn't have done anything otherwise. If I had tried to increase my risk or chase money harder, I'd probably have less money, because risking your entire livelihood is a psychological battle, and I feel I can only win that battle if the stakes are low.
As I write this, I do understand why people in CT believe this, given that modern CT views crypto as a late-stage lottery farm where the optimal strategy is to leverage your portfolio 5x, hoping to catch a 20% gain and then sell. Or, they hear Ansem is buying the next coin and just go all in. So, looking back at the chart, it's clear that successful people do exactly that.
In reality, I almost never use leverage (usually to reduce risk, not increase it—I've used leverage to increase risk maybe three times in the past five years, maybe 15 times). I never go all-in on anything, and have only done so on BTC and ETH in the past 10 years. When I buy other things, I limit my risk to a very small amount, because I treat it as zero unless proven otherwise (hence the liquid portfolio, which is always less than 1%). The liquid portfolio also makes up a smaller portion of the overall portfolio, to protect against future mistakes.
Obviously, I've made a lot of money, and I've been here for 12 years! But CT doesn't want to hear about "getting rich in 10 years." I'm happy with where I am now and have never really focused on or optimized how to maximize my income.