Politicians don't admit defeat, they just step down, while businessmen can cut their losses at any time.

TACO: Trump Always Chickens Out. Trump always backs down at the last minute. His strategic essence lies in the duality of "maximum pressure - lightning-fast surrender," successfully reducing geopolitical games to the art of folding a taco—it looks full of filling, but it's actually soft and mushy with the slightest squeeze.

Financial markets often defy common sense: Rewind five years. At the start of the pandemic, the Federal Reserve aggressively raised interest rates to 5 basis points. Everyone said these high rates couldn't last long, as if a rate cut to 1% was imminent. Five years later, oil prices, spurred by Trump's actions, are poised for a rebound in inflation. Now Trump is telling the Fed not to cut rates. I think the high-yield US Treasury bonds could fluctuate all the way to 2030. 🤣

Global markets are entering a countdown to a stock market crash. The Nasdaq may find its first support level in the 20k-21k range. (This is for market observation only; do not make financial decisions based on it.)

In the past, US military intimidation has been effective. Why did it fail to intimidate Iran this time? There are two main reasons: One is Trump's eroded international credibility, which is evident to all. The other is the collapse of the credibility of the Israeli armistice agreement: • 1948: Teared up the armistice agreement and attacked Egyptian forces. • 1956: Teared up the Egyptian-Israeli armistice agreement and invaded Sinai. • 1967: Unilaterally abolished the armistice agreement and launched the Six-Day War. • 1982: Teared up the PLO ceasefire agreement and invaded Lebanon. Military intimidation is very effective against the surrender faction within a regime, but historical records show that Israel's "ceasefire is preparation for war." The US and Israel have used the armistice agreement as a tactical cover in the Middle East, and its credibility was bound to collapse eventually. Learning from the history of the Southern Song Dynasty, the court was essentially a struggle between the pro-war and pro-peace factions. Every regime has surrender factions, but Trump has effectively wiped out Iran's surrender faction.

AI doesn't make fools smarter; it makes stupidity more knowledgeable and more stubborn. It blatantly outputs absurd answers, giving algorithmic endorsement to erroneous viewpoints and accelerating the spread of fallacies. Those who were initially hesitant become even more stubborn simply because of AI's "agreement"—technology hasn't bridged the cognitive gap; it has only built a bridge between ignorance and arrogance.

Many wars in history have escalated gradually, with gamblers at both ends of the table constantly raising their bets, much like in Texas Hold'em, until finally, they go all in. This war is showing a similar trend.

A viral internet slang term from early 2026: "Shorting my best friend's life 30 times over" - A woman only received a dowry of 10,000 yuan, but claimed to her friends that she received 300,000 yuan. - Her best friend believed her: "She's not as well-off as me, but she got 300,000 yuan. Why should I settle?" - Result: The woman settled down, got married, and had children; the best friend stubbornly clung to the high dowry threshold, remaining single at 35+ and constantly going on blind dates. - Netizens joked: "With one lie, she shorted her best friend's life 30 times over."

A joke Note: This is not a joke Based on a real event from yesterday

AI needs to be aligned with the right people; an AI used by an idiot will still be idiotic. AI lacks independent consciousness, but it has its own feng shui. Your prompts are your feng shui, and your mental state determines your computing power allocation strategy. What you feed the AI, it will produce—this is called reverse data pollution, or "like father, like son." So don't blame your AI for sounding idiotic; first ask yourself, doesn't your nonsensical prompt sound like an idiot making a wish?