I plan to buy back Bitcoin around $86,000 for a short-term pullback trade. As mentioned in Sunday's report, I believe Bitcoin may retest the $97,000-$107,000 range before the next significant drop. This equates to a 20% drop from the current level, a reasonably risk-reward trade for traders, requiring strict stop-loss orders. Nevertheless, I remain very bearish on Bitcoin and will approach this market with the highest level of risk management. This means: once a stable profit is achieved, I will ensure a stop-loss is placed at the entry point; simultaneously, my short position at $115,000-$125,000 will remain unclosed. This strategy is only for the next few weeks, after which a strong downward trend will resume, with even lower target prices! Bitcoin remains extremely volatile and bearish in the medium term, and a strong downward trend could continue at any time, even before reaching the $97,000-$107,000 range. A larger, faster sell-off is entirely possible. Therefore, buying now requires extreme caution. Short positions remain fully open. Any upward movement is viewed as an allocation and liquidity grab for the next round of declines, with the 70k area remaining the primary target. If the price falls to the 97-107k area, I will again fully close out my spot positions for profit and add to my short positions with the profits! Current Bitcoin Price: $86,288 Date: December 16, 2025

I established a short position between $115,000 and $125,000 over 60 days. In October, I predicted the bear market would begin around $125,000, with a target price of $80,000 to $90,000. Everyone was shocked and incredulous, because everyone expected a bull market in the fourth quarter! As it turns out, the masses were wrong again!

As per last Sunday's report, there will be no Sunday report today. Bitcoin remains in a strong bear market and has not yet bottomed out.

Bitcoin's value against gold has fallen by 50%, from 40 ounces of gold per Bitcoin in January 2025 to the current 21 ounces per Bitcoin. The market consensus is that Bitcoin is overvalued against gold! Since then, the price of Bitcoin has dropped by 50%!

#Bitcoin: Since Bitcoin touched the $80,000 area last month, I've said that a consolidation and pullback phase had begun. Now Bitcoin has risen to $90,000. Market makers have many options, but their ultimate goal is the same: to push Bitcoin below $70,000.

#Bitcoin – What's Next? Sunday's Key Report: Everything You Need to Know: 🚩 Technical Analysis/Liquidity Analysis/Psychological Analysis: Nothing has changed from last Sunday's report, so today's update is shorter than usual. Last week, we discussed two major liquidity pools in the 97k and 107k areas, and the importance of placing short positions in these areas in case market makers allow prices to re-enter to grab liquidity. It's worth noting that the 50-period moving average needs to be retested, which perfectly aligns with the first liquidity pool near 99-100k. If we see such a surge in price, it will require significant volatility, which is likely to occur during the December 10th FOMC statement, just three days from now. Currently, the market presents three possible scenarios, some more likely than others. Trading is a game of probability. If we accept that Bitcoin is in a bear market, then we also accept that prices will make new lows from time to time. But will this happen without any rebound or pullback? Of course not. Even in the worst crashes, the market never falls all the way down without any rebound. Our next task is to identify the area where market makers are most likely to push the price before it reaches the lower target of around $70,000. The first possibility is that market makers will simply execute the current bearish flag pattern, pushing Bitcoin directly to the $70,000 target. I think this possibility exists, but it's less likely than the second. The second possibility is that market makers will seek liquidity around $97,000 while Bitcoin retests the weekly 50-day moving average (EMA50), which is the most important bullish/bearish indicator. The perfect trap is a price break above the weekly EMA50. This would generate strong bullish sentiment, pushing Bitcoin from $100,000 to $107,000, thus securing the next major liquidity pool. This would allow market makers to build a larger liquidation cluster during a downtrend. This makes them more inclined to push the price below $83k, allowing the "big shorts" to profit again. Some might ask, "Why not close the short positions at 115-125k, go long, and then short again at 97-100k or 107k?" The answer is simple: market trading is based on probability. In my view, my entry points won't be triggered for at least the next year. Whatever happens, these short positions will remain highly profitable because the entry points are perfect. I believe there's a very high probability of the price hitting the 70k area. The only question is, how high will this false rally go before the next decline? Will it start from the current bearish flag structure (97-100k)? Or will we see a stronger rally, reaching at most the 107k area, and then continue declining? These questions ultimately point to the same answer: the price will hit 70k after one of the aforementioned events occurs. I would be happy to continue holding short positions of 115,000 to 125,000, and would add another 100,000 to 107,000 if the market presents the aforementioned opportunity. Overall, the fundamentals are extremely pessimistic. Confirmation of the death cross is the biggest warning sign and the final confirmation many need. Of course, market sentiment fluctuates. People bet on the golden cross but completely ignore the death cross simply because emotions blind them, preventing them from facing reality. According to the calendar, the Federal Reserve will hold a meeting on Wednesday, December 10th. 86% of the market expects a 0.25 percentage point rate cut, while 14% expects no cut. If a rate cut occurs, the market has already priced it in.

#Bitcoin: The bottom for Bitcoin hasn't appeared yet, and it won't appear in the coming weeks or months! We are in a bear market, and it will likely continue until at least September 2026. Continue holding my short position that I started at $120,000 and keep accumulating more funds to buy in when the market truly bottoms out after the crash!

When $TRADOOR keeps falling 🥲 #emoji

#Bitcoin: Watch the charts closely; the $70,000 area is only a matter of time. Remember, the two liquidity clusters around $100,000 and $107,000 are shorting areas to watch, if the market allows. Overall, the market remains extremely bearish.

#Bitcoin – What's Next? Sunday's Key Report: Everything You Need to Know: 🚩 Technical Analysis/Life Cycle Analysis/Psychological Analysis: Today, Bitcoin closed below its 50-day moving average for the third consecutive week, a golden line that has supported the market since the start of the 2023 bull market. The break below the 50-day moving average confirms the start of the bear market we are currently in. Furthermore, as discussed previously, the death cross that appeared two weeks ago has also been confirmed. Despite weeks of selling pressure, the market remains healthy in terms of positioning: long and short positions are perfectly balanced, which explains the sideways movement we are currently seeing. So, let's start with the first question: Why is this sideways movement so important? To accumulate significant downside liquidity, market makers must allow prices to trade sideways for a period, or even artificially push the market up to stimulate more bullish sentiment, thereby inducing long positions to take profits again. This allows the market to stabilize, inducing traders to take profits and accumulating liquidity below the current price level. Only when liquidity accumulates to a certain level will market makers trigger the next round of declines. Do we currently have enough downside liquidity? I don't think so. Not enough right now. I believe the liquidity below is insufficient to support another significant drop. Therefore, I expect the price to consolidate between the current price and the 50-day moving average (around $100,000) in the coming days and weeks. The two areas with the strongest liquidity in the short term are around $97,000 and $107,000. Interestingly, the 50-day moving average is also around $100,000, meaning the price is very likely to retest the 50-day moving average, as we haven't seen any pullback since it last broke below it. A significant drop is planned, but it has to happen step by step, and the necessary liquidity isn't in place yet. So, for now, a dull consolidation phase is expected, with a target price between $70,000 and $75,000 in early 2026. Again, this type of movement takes time, and that's where most people fail to understand. It's not just "a drop followed by a bounce"; a significant drop is also possible. What follows is a long period of consolidation, followed by a false bounce, and then continued declines. Keep this in mind. I'm maintaining all my short positions in the $115,000 to $125,000 range and holding 100% cash, with no interest in "buying the dip" at these levels. However, I would establish a few short positions in the $105,000 to $107,000 range if the market allows. Currently, most of the liquidation is happening around $97,000, and I think it's still possible to reach that level in the coming days and weeks, which is a good thing. Market makers understand that Bitcoin will be even lower in six months, so they need to put pressure on later shorts, liquidating their positions and clearing the way for a deeper drop. Hopefully, my explanation is clear. Now that my first target price of $90,000 has been reached, I expect a period of consolidation. I don't think there will be a strong drop in the next few days. Instead, the market will likely seek liquidity, build liquidity below, and prepare for the next round of declines, which will take some time, most likely in early 2026. As for the calendar: there are no major events at the moment. This is a relatively calm phase. The first event to watch is the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on December 10th. ⚠️ Reminder: Today is the last day of the Black Friday discount for premium members. The price is $39 instead of $59, representing a 34% discount! If you lock in the $39 plan, you will only pay $39 even if the official price increases later. New members after Black Friday will pay the full price of $59. How to join: 🔗 Contact us via Telegram: Or: Visit our website