Trump says military strikes against Iran will be suspended for five days. The Iranian parliament speaker says no negotiations have been held with the US. This scenario is like something out of a cartoon, but short-term prices have indeed risen. Let's analyze this: (1) This small positive factor has already materialized and driven a temporary price increase. If the war is indeed suspended for five days, will prices rise or fall after five days? (2) Iran says there have been no talks. If Iran launches a direct attack during these five days, will prices rise or fall? (3) News can only cause short-term fluctuations due to emotions; it cannot affect the overall trend. Without this news, based on the current market environment and technical factors, are you bullish or bearish? I think the answer is clear: no matter how the three scenarios unfold, prices will ultimately rise.





