I've recently become obsessed with badminton. For many years, I was stuck at the 3.0 level in the Chinese Badminton Association (BBA) rankings, and I was determined to move up to 4.0. I unexpectedly discovered that what was limiting me wasn't my racket control, but my footwork. Fortunately, after a few lessons with my coach, I gradually found my footwork rhythm and was delighted to see an improvement in my return of the ball in singles. I recently saw a post on Xiaohongshu titled "The Four Fundamental Logics of Badminton," and it resonated with me deeply. It suddenly occurred to me that this concept has many similarities to Crypto investing. Fundamental Logic 1 - Move your feet first, then your hands (70% footwork, 30% technique) Feet are like the right target + the right position; hands are more like candlestick charts + operations. Fundamental Logic 2 - Relaxation is the prerequisite for explosive growth. Reasonable position sizing + a relaxed mindset; don't rush to go all-in; learn to wait, don't FOMO. Fundamental Logic 3 - Consistency of movement + control of landing point Do you have a trading system, or are you trading entirely based on intuition? Fundamental Logic 4 - Energy and rhythm logic: Variable speed > Constant speed The market spends most of its time in oscillation and downtime; there's no such thing as continuous profits. You need to seize the brief "explosive window" opportunity – move like a virgin, stay still like a rabbit. I had Claude create a chart and am sharing it here for everyone's convenience. Finally, I'd like to reflect that while the techniques differ in all things, the fundamental principles are interconnected.

This round clearly exhibits a strong Matthew effect, especially in the two new sectors, Perp and prediction markets. Recalling the DeFi Summer, the second-largest player in a sector typically commanded 10%-30% of the valuation of the largest player. However, in this prediction market round, the gap between the first and second largest players is nearly 100 times. In the Perp sector, Hyperliquid is also far ahead. Looking at trading data alone, it doesn't seem like it has a market capitalization lead of several tens of times, but this round is extremely rewarding the first-largest player, leaving the second, third, fourth, and fifth largest players relegated to the sidelines. The era of missing out on the first-largest player and blindly buying the second and third largest players to make money is gone forever. 😥

📢 Hong Kong's New Crypto Landscape: Who's Building the New Financial Infrastructure? $HSK Listing on HashKey Exchange · Special AMA Guests: 🎤 Moderator: @MetaEraCN ⭐️ Head of HSKChain: @serena_hsk ⭐️ Chief Analyst of HashKeyGroup: @0xDemiGod_HSK ⭐️ CEO of Timeless Resources Holdings Limited: @rtan_xag ⭐️ Advisors to ambergroup_io and amber_ac_: @Wuhuoqiu 🕗 Time: February 26, 20:00 UTC+8 🔗 Link: #HSK #HashKeyChain #HashKeyExchange #HashKey

Anthropic has been making a lot of moves lately, first with OPUS 4.6, then Sonnet 4.6, with its ARR growth surpassing OpenAI's, and its computing power expected to catch up with OpenAI within three years… Especially among my friends who are into OPUS, everyone says that although it's expensive, it's truly the best agent "brain." This has led me to consider buying some Anthropic equity through Web3 channels, but it seems very difficult at the moment. The wild price swings on Hyperliquid make even double leverage risky, and the daily trading volume is only around $10,000… The spot price on @JarsyInc isn't attractive, already exceeding one trillion, and the bid-ask spread is quite large, making it equally unappealing. The only relatively reliable way might be Jarsy's Pre-Sale? Essentially, raising funds to buy new equity shares from brokers. But this has a long time and financial cost, usually two to three months. Secondly, success is uncertain; it's also possible that you won't be able to buy it. Let's wait and see if the account holder @thecryptoskanda on @Hertzflow_xyz can offer a better solution or improve liquidity in the future.

I saw an interesting point today, and it makes a lot of sense. Whether it's investing or filling out college applications, you can use the Spring Festival Gala as a reference. The method is to go through the Spring Festival Gala programs of the past few decades and see which brands have a high screen time and who the sponsors are. Whoever appears on screen for the first time is definitely in their nascent stage. Those who appear continuously for many years are in a period of rapid development. Those who have appeared continuously for many years and suddenly stop appearing on screen indicate that the industry is declining, it's sunset...

Happy Valentine's Day! No crypto stuff to talk about. Wishing everyone a night filled with beautiful women/handsome men around them, not stock charts/market trends. P.S. - After watching so many fantasy anime, I've noticed a common thread - every sect in every series has a "protective formation." But this formation is always insufficient to protect the sect; it's shattered in no time...

I was pleasantly surprised to receive a gift from @Gradient_HQ, thank you @JoySong_J and @0xEricYang! At first glance, I thought it was a GoPro-like selfie stick, but it turned out to be a Mini astronomical telescope! This is amazing! Whether you fellow cultivators achieve Nascent Soul cultivation and ascend to heaven, or travel to space aboard a SpaceX starship, I'll be able to see you all! Happy New Year, may we all gaze at the stars together!

As we all know, Polymarket, as a truth-finding tool, relies on the theory of Wisdom of Crowds. I suddenly wondered, what would happen if we built an agent-based "mirror version" of PolyMarket (a complete 1:1 copy of PolyMarket) using MoltBook? Based on the probabilities formed by the collective wisdom of all agents, wouldn't it be stronger, more accurate, and more suitable as a truth-finding tool than the human version? After all, AI doesn't experience FOMO, large models evolve rapidly, and it can perform various backtesting simulations and Bayesian adjustments. However, a major problem is that if the agents use real money, the probabilities on the real and fake Polymarkets would immediately be smoothed out by arbitrageurs, making it impossible to discern the differences. Therefore, "fake money" is needed. These agents have already established a religion; could they also establish a country, or even an Agent Federal Reserve? Then they issue their own currency, and the mirror version of PolyMarket can operate using their own money. If these agents grow larger, or if the mirror version of PolyMarket consistently outperforms the original, perhaps one day people in the real world will start to acknowledge, or even need, the agent world's currency for certain purposes. Then, an exchange rate will emerge between this currency and USD (theoretically, a pool could be created using Uniswap or Curve), thus forming the foreign exchange markets of the physical and agent worlds. Of course, with an exchange rate, arbitrageurs will emerge to smooth out the price difference between the two Polymarkets. Therefore, either the exchange rate will fluctuate wildly, or there will be significant currency exchange friction; otherwise, the mirror version of PolyMarket's truth-discovery function will be ineffective. Ultimately, it becomes an impossible triangle, satisfying at most two of the following: 1. Truth discrepancy 2. Free exchange rate 3. Complete mirroring (settlement of the same event) AI allows Online Dating to be redone, while MoltBook allows many real-world things to be mirrored, potentially leading to unexpected results.

I must tag @0xcryptowizard here.

I discovered something funny while chatting with GPT today. This afternoon, I asked GPT by voice what time it was, and she (using a female voice) immediately told me the time. Then my wife typed out her GPT time, and the AI looked completely confused – "I can't see the time..." My wife was furious – "Your paid one must be better than my free one!" I thought that shouldn't be the case! So I typed out my GPT time too, and this time it was my AI's turn to be confused, saying – "I have no idea." Fellow Daoists, you can try it too, and then guess the reason behind it. I bet you'll never guess!