From One to Zero
In the next decade, Silicon Valley may be completely wiped out. China and the internet will then succeed it: specifically, Chinese tech companies and internet-based encryption protocols, because they possess political protection mechanisms that Silicon Valley lacks.
Here are the reasons for this situation.
(1) The first and most obvious factor is that wealth seizure is now officially on the agenda. The 2026 “Billionaire Act” referendum[1] directly targets the founders of tech companies worth billions of dollars, meaning it directly challenges the power law, that is, the economic logic of venture capital itself. Without billionaires, there is no angel investment, and therefore no Silicon Valley. If the first referendum fails, more similar referendums are likely to be launched until the goal is finally achieved.
(2) The second factor is that while some have realized the threat and left California for places like Texas, Miami (or Dubai, Singapore), many companies are still unaware of it. Unless a CEO prioritizes moving their entire team from California to another office, unless they feel firsthand that staying in California would mean losing everything they've built, they won't prioritize this. The smartest people, like Elon Musk, did this years ago, but the average politician won't.
(3) This leads to my third point: the Bay Area tech scene is increasingly favored by the average politician. They seem unaware that a company registered in Delaware, listed in New York, and headquartered in California is effectively on the opposing (i.e., Democratic) side of the game on three levels. They're still employing an outdated 2000s strategy that assumes the political platform beneath their feet will remain stable.
(4) What is a political platform? It's like iOS or Android—just a platform. In this context, it means the tech communities in Washington and California take these rules for granted. Delaware and New York City guarantee property rights, meritocratic hiring, visas, wire transfers, IPOs, and basic rule of law. However, these rules have been eroded over the past decade due to the Second American Civil War. In short, this erosion includes: forfeiture of wealth, diversity, fairness, and inclusion (DEI), remittance taxes, visa bans, abolishing the police, tariffs, revoking stock awards (e.g., Elon Musk's case), and punitive anti-tech regulations (especially those targeting AI and cryptocurrencies during Biden's presidency).
(5) Unfortunately, the erosion of the favorable conditions for technological development today comes from both the left and the right. For many on the left, technology is the domain of whites/men/capitalists. For many on the right, technology is the domain of non-whites/immigrants/globalists. Technology has now become the class enemy of the American left (though to a lesser extent, it certainly exists) and the racial enemy of the right. This is a truly terrible situation.
(6) This leads to my next factor: the rise of extreme anti-tech sentiment. Democrats, in particular, are furious about the internet taking away their control over the media, money, and speech. Outside of X Company, they scoff at AI and cryptocurrencies daily. They've already started burning self-driving cars, setting fire to Tesla dealerships, and shooting CEOs. Before long, more leftists like Luigi Musk and killers like Kirk Skywalker will be involved in random anti-tech terrorism. Undoubtedly, Silicon Valley is completely unprepared for this.
(7) The good news is that technology has largely become decentralized. Hardware is in China. Elon Musk is in Texas. Cryptocurrencies are global. Over 400 cities have unicorn companies. Once we have open-source AI models that function like Claude Cord's, replicating many of Silicon Valley's past achievements will become possible. Therefore, progress will continue.
(8) You can already see the beginnings of this future. Apple couldn't even build cars back then, but Xiaomi could, yet Xiaomi's market capitalization is less than a tenth of Apple's. Similarly, the market capitalization of top cryptocurrency projects is roughly equivalent to the tech industry level in 2010: close to $100 billion. But we're not there yet. So: The anti-tech meteorite may not have hit the "dinosaurs" of Silicon Valley yet, but we can already see the "mammals."
Postscript
(a) Please note: The real purpose of the California wealth forfeiture referendum is to plunder or expel all tech workers. Complaining about how stupid this is is pointless.
(b) This is less stupid and more malicious. The reason is that Democrats fear tech workers will take away their control of California, so they preemptively struck. The Democrats' goal is to drive tech companies out of California, just as they did with Republicans, thus achieving permanent one-party dominance. After all, California is not a democracy, because although there are "elections," the parties always win in the end:
(c) Democrats would rather California be like Cuba—poor but completely under their control—than a place where they might need to share power, because only with complete one-party dominance can they implement scams like the $100 billion "bottomless train." These "projects" weren't for building trains, but for paying Democratic clients (in this case, unions):
(d) It's also important to note that Democrats aren't concerned with left-wing billionaires and cronies like Soros or Steyr. Only newly minted billionaires pose a threat because they lack sufficient loyalty to the Democratic Party.
(e) In short, most Democrats' concerns are unnecessary. In reality, most tech people are focused on their own businesses, not on controlling California. Only a very small minority have time for political activism, and even then, it's mostly limited to national-level activities. This is because Silicon Valley's tech community is filled with non-voting immigrants and lacks a clear political ideology.(f) However, cryptocurrencies are quite different. Bitcoin is currently the hottest topic. It fundamentally negates the Federal Reserve, expressed in a way that is entirely backward compatible with American and internet values. Therefore, Web 3 will eventually replace Web 2 just as Web 2 replaced Web 1, for a simple reason: Web 3 is politically resilient (because it is globally decentralized), while Web 2 naively trusts the stability of American institutions.
(g) Furthermore, cryptocurrencies were designed to resist the plundering of wealth, but Silicon Valley's technology clearly is not. This is why this referendum on wealth plundering (or its aftermath) is likely to kill Silicon Valley and give rise to what it should have been: a decentralized global internet completely free from the control of failed states.
(h) Is there still hope for Silicon Valley? Perhaps only one person there possesses enough wisdom, resources, and unwavering will to create a different future within a limited timeframe: Zuckerberg. As a native-born American citizen, he is not subject to the same constraints as Thiel and Elon. Moreover, he is by no means politically weak. He possesses similar potential to Elon Musk before 2022. We'll wait and see if that potential is fully realized.
(i) In short, read this article to learn about the ongoing wealth grab and then project your future in Silicon Valley a few years from now:
(j) Oh, and by the way, read about Russia before the 1917 communist revolution. Did you know that before the Bolsheviks destroyed Russian society, Russia also had a booming stock market and its own technocratic class (cosmologists)? Go check it out:
(k) The biggest difference between the 21st and 20th centuries is that we have the internet. Therefore, America's attempt to plunder wealth through neo-communist means may not be as successful as the Soviet Union's. Because American entrepreneurs are not rooted in the land like poor Russian kulaks. They are rooted in the cloud. So, when the awakened ones appear, they may just be attacking in vain.