Here's a cognitive arbitrage strategy: arbitrage opportunities between oil prices and stocks/cryptocurrencies. Let's start with a question: of all assets, which is most sensitive to the situation in Iran? My answer is "oil." If the situation in Iran eases, or if a new agreement is positively revealed, Wall Street will be the most informed. Their first priority will be to close out their long positions in oil and go short. As the most directly traded asset, the first wave of money/trading will occur in oil, followed by the US stock market, other countries' stock markets, cryptocurrencies, etc. Therefore, oil prices are currently the bellwether for the entire Iran situation. Once oil prices start to fall inexplicably, it means some news is about to emerge. I will immediately buy the dip, at least to profit from the rebound. Pretty effective, right?