Last night, while browsing @PolyPredict_AI late at night looking for alpha, I found something interesting: crude oil (CL), a benchmark that everyone is very interested in. The topic was: Will crude oil (CL) reach __ by the end of March? According to Polypredict's AI insights into fair value, crude oil prices falling below $80 by the end of the month is highly unlikely. The AI tells me that a price below $80 is a "free lunch," and the reason is in the chart—it almost made me laugh! AI evolves so quickly, it's hilarious! Given the current situation in Iran, a short-term ceasefire is unlikely, and the regional situation could escalate at any time. The risk of passage through the Strait of Hormuz is extremely high. The market will indeed continue to react to this uncertainty, and I don't see a possibility of a price decline in the short term. I agree that if the regional situation escalates, oil prices could rise to $120 at any time, but it might not be this month. There are still 12 days left until the end of the month. However, for oil prices to fall below $80, a ceasefire is needed, which seems unrealistic. Therefore, I tend to agree with the AI's "free lunch" prediction of $80. I hope it really does treat me to a meal. If you want an extra meal, you'll have to consider adding more $120 to your meal. This means there are two positions that are currently off-balance with fair value: one for defense and one for offense. Let's test this trade at the end of the month; the logic behind it is quite good. Back to finding Alpha!