Polymarket's token sale section is essentially a hype barometer (HypeMeters). The signal isn't in the prediction itself, but in how far it deviates. When the masses are frantically pouring money in betting on higher valuations, caution is the wise course of action. Historically, "extreme confidence" from the masses has often meant "greatest pain" for investors. True win rate over 60% vs. True win rate only 60% Same title, different FOMO sentiment PMs need consensus that leads the masses.