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10x Research创始人警告称,比特币价格可能下跌60%,这与2026年美国中期选举有关。
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cryptobriefing
2025-12-09 08:24
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比特币价格下跌可能会影响投资者信心,凸显了在宏观经济不确定时期进行战略风险管理的必要性。
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Author:加密简报

要点总结

  • 10x Research 的 Markus Thielen 预测,比特币价格可能在 2026 年美国中期选举周期期间下跌 60%。
  • 宏观经济和选举事件可能会引发加密货币市场(而不仅仅是传统金融市场)的剧烈调整。

领导数字资产投资研究公司 10x Research 的 Markus Thielen 预测,比特币可能会因 2026 年美国中期选举周期而出现 60% 的下跌。

Thielen 指出过去的中期选举周期引发了比特币的大规模抛售,并警告说,这一次机构资金流动减弱和链上看跌信号可能会加剧下行压力。

“比特币实际上在这些年里平均下跌了约 60%,除非我们真的进入一个通胀下降的时期,美联储变得非常鸽派,而随着美联储新主席的上任,这种情况可能会发生,”蒂伦在最近接受 CoinDesk 采访时指出。

“现在新款钱包的售价都低于市场价10%到20%。总有一天,它们不得不卖掉,”他补充道。

这家研究公司专注于分析数字资产的市场趋势、衍生品仓位和融资动态。近期研究表明,比特币的潜在下跌与传统市场因素之外的意外宏观经济触发因素有关。

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