美银：全球股市接近触发卖出信号

功夫茶虫

链上智者

6 月 7 日，美国银行策略师 Michael Hartnett 警告称，全球股市在本周创下历史新高后，即将触发技术性「卖出」信号。他表示，市场在短短两个月内飙升 20% 后，目前运行过热。

他引用了资金流动和市场广度数据，作为投资者纷纷涌入风险资产且仓位过高的证据。交易员经常将此作为看跌信号，因为理论上它可以表明市场购买力可能很快就会耗尽，价格很容易回调。Hartnett 引用的数据显示，过去四周，流入股票和高收益债券的资金占总资产的 0.9%。

他表示，如果这一数字上升到 1% 以上，这将是投资者卖出的标志。与此同时，市场正在接近「超买区域」。约有 84% 的国家指数高于其 50 天和 200 天移动平均线。他表示，当该指标达到 88% 时，他的卖出触发点就到了。

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