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微软重返巅峰,科技七巨头谁还能再创新高?
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微软股价周四收盘创下历史新高,成为今年科技股调整以来首个回到峰值的“七巨头”成员。
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微软(MSFT.O)近期强劲的走势正值科技股整体回暖之际,其与英伟达(NVDA.O)在美股市值冠军之争中交替领先。本周二收盘时,英伟达市值短暂超越微软,但到了周四,微软再度夺回榜首。

据道琼斯市场数据显示,英伟达上一次市值超过微软还要追溯到325日。而当时,苹果(AAPL.O)还位列两者之上。但由于近期中美贸易摩擦中关税担忧加剧,苹果股价承压,周四下跌1.1%,年内已累计下跌近20%

目前在七巨头Magnificent Seven)中,苹果的股价距历史收盘高点仍有超过22%的差距。

今年5月,杰富瑞(Jefferies)的分析师重申微软是他们最看好的AI概念股,尤其是在微软年度Build开发者大会之后。分析师指出,微软计划在未来数月为其Copilot AI助手加入推理能力,是此次大会最大亮点之一。

他们在523日的报告中写道:我们对Copilot将获得‘Researcher’‘Analyst’智能体的推理功能感到极度看好——这将显著缩小与OpenAIDeep Research产品之间的差距。

分析师还称,预计微软今后将更快速地将推理模型整合进Copilot,并表示许多Build大会参会客户反馈积极,认为Copilot在过去三至六个月中进步显著。

尽管目前Copilot在多数企业中仍属小规模部署,但分析师指出,不少客户认为这种缓慢推进现在正开始显现回报,Copilot正逐渐展现出更强的ROI能力,适合更大范围的推广

杰富瑞认为,我们采访的大多数人都预计,他们将在未来一到两年内持续推进Copilot在企业内部的全面落地

随着微软客户、合作伙伴与高管不断将Copilot融入业务流程,分析师表示他们仍坚定看好Copilot带来的连锁效应,特别是在安全(Security)和Azure云业务上

与此同时,英伟达也于本周被杰富瑞列入最具信心买入股票名单。分析师称该公司是“AI加速器领域的主导供应商,在快速增长的数据中心产业中占据关键地位。随着英伟达新一代Blackwell AI平台的全面推进,公司毛利率预计将从当前的70%低位回升至其目标的75%左右

英伟达股价周四下跌1.4%,但过去一个月仍上涨了23%。根据道琼斯市场数据,英伟达的历史收盘高点为今年16日创下的149.43美元,周四股价约比该水平低6%

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