Bitfinex Alpha发布报告称，在1月份创下历史新高后，比特币经历了32%的回调，但此后强劲反弹逾50%，创下新的高点——111,880美元，目前已进入一个健康的盘整阶段。强劲的ETF资金流入、现货市场参与度飙升，以及正向的「已实现净资本」增长，推动了市场中的结构性买盘，而非过度投机。尽管宏观风险偏好有所回落，例如传出美国可能对欧洲进口商品征收50%的关税，但比特币依旧表现坚挺——在去杠杆和获利了结的过程中并未出现明显的下跌。这种韧性正引发市场对比特币演变为一个「宏观敏感、信念驱动型资产」的关注，它的交易行为如今更多与全球流动性走向相关，而非散户情绪。值得注意的是，日本Metaplanet公司增持了价值1.04亿美元的比特币，以及美国密歇根州提议推出有利于加密资产的立法，这些都进一步验证了机构和政策层面对数字资产日益增长的支持。展望未来，比特币能否继续维持在其短期持有者成本基础（约95,000美元）之上盘整，将是关键。在过去一个月中，短期持有者已实现超过114亿美元的利润，因此短期内可能存在一定的抛压，但结构性需求依然存在。ETF买盘的强度、低波动率，以及现货市场的溢价信号，都表明市场正在走向成熟，一旦宏观环境明朗，后续可能迎来进一步的上涨。目前来看，接下来的几周将决定，比特币此次突破是阶段性的顶部，还是Q3更强劲涨势的序章。
比特币进入健康盘整阶段
链上智者
05-27 08:52
Follow
DisclaimerAll content on this website, hyperlinks, related applications, forums, blog media accounts, and other platforms published by users are sourced from third-party platforms and platform users. BiJieWang makes no warranties of any kind regarding the website and its content. All blockchain-related data and other content on the website are for user learning and research purposes only, and do not constitute investment, legal, or any other professional advice. Any content published by BiJieWang users or other third-party platforms is the sole responsibility of the individual, and has nothing to do with BiJieWang. BiJieWang is not responsible for any losses arising from the use of information on this website. You should use the related data and content with caution and bear all risks associated with it. We strongly recommend that you independently research, review, analyze, and verify the content.
No comments yet