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QCP:若比特币突破历史新高或将引发新一轮FOMO行情,进一步推高币价
丹丹Adane
丹丹Adane
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趋势预测者
05-21 17:44
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5 月 21 日,QCP 发布每日市场观察称,30 年期日本国债(JGB)收益率突破 3%,冲破历史关口,日本不断膨胀的债务问题长期以来一直是潜在隐忧,如今正在逼近临界点。如果这波债券抛售持续,且财政担忧加剧,市场对日本风险的重新评估可能会在短期内推动日元升值。日本市场的震荡已经开始波及全球市场。美国 30 年期国债收益率重新突破 5%,投资者正将视线投向美国自身的债务路径。


与此同时,比特币今日尝试突破 10.8 万美元关口,但未能维持动能。当前价格走势与 Strategy 和 Metaplanet 的增持密切相关,这两者仍是当前主要买盘来源。但市场愈发担忧,它们或许已代表「边际买家」的最后一波力量。若其购入放缓,可能触发其他投资者获利了结,从而逆转当前的上涨趋势。


尽管面临宏观层面的持续逆风,包括债券收益率飙升、关税升级,以及美国在 2024 年第三和第四季度潜在的滞胀风险,比特币在过去一个月中表现出惊人的韧性。话虽如此,一旦价格成功突破历史高点,可能引发新一轮 FOMO 情绪,将场外观望资金拉入场内,进一步推高币价。

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