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分析师:市场尚未显示出过热迹象,比特币有望创历史新高
西岸风
西岸风
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数字货币大师
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5 月 21 日,CryptoQuant 分析师 Axel Adler Jr. 在社交媒体上发文表示,「每当币价出现强势上涨,导致大量原本处于亏损的代币迅速转为盈利时,未花费交易输出(UTXO)盈亏比的 30 日简单移动平均线(SMA)就会升至 200 以上。这个指标飙升得越高,市场就越可能接近「过热」或「抛压释放」阶段。


目前,该指标处于 99,因此还没有显现出市场过热的迹象。如果这个均线持续突破 200,将成为市场情绪进入新一轮狂热期的明确信号。换句话说,市场仍有可能继续创新高,但推动盈亏比上升的「轻松燃料」基本已经耗尽,后续需要更强劲的价格动能或剧烈的波动,才能让该指标再次走高。


正如我昨天所说,本轮周期的第三次「压缩期」正是推动该指标冲破 200、迈入过热阶段的关键弹力。」

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