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Yardeni Research:美国经济“极具韧性”是美联储2025年不会降息的三大原因之一
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05-20 22:47
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卖方华尔街公司 Yardeni Research 总裁 Ed Yardeni 认为,美联储将坚持政策方向,将利率维持在当前水平。
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卖方华尔街公司 Yardeni Research 总裁 Ed Yardeni 认为,美联储将坚持政策方向,将利率维持在当前水平。

在接受 CNBC 采访时,亚德尼预计不会放松任何货币政策,理由是强劲的家庭支出和科技公司的强劲资本投资推动了美国经济的韧性。

我没想到美联储今年会降息。我仍然这么认为,因为美国经济极具韧性。过去三年美联储加息时,消费者表现得非常好。现在,我认为消费者在关税不确定性面前也表现得相当不错。

至于资本支出,尽管人们担心不确定性会对资本支出造成打击,但现实情况是,技术资本支出仍然非常强劲,目前占总资本支出的 50% 以上。”

亚德尼还认为,美国国债的吸引力和需求仍将保持强劲。

美国是世界上最大的资本市场,无与伦比。当然,我们有很多债务。但人们一直在购买这些债务,因为他们确实想要美国国债。

所以,正如我们在2023年看到的那样,国债市场最糟糕的情况是收益率飙升到人们想要购买的水平。收益率一度达到5%,人们开始购买。但不知不觉中,收益率又回落了。

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