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美联储二把手警告:通胀前景充满“巨大不确定性”!
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资深研究
05-15 02:30
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杰斐逊力挺鲍威尔,认为目前利率具有适度限制性,有能力应对“各种事态”。
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美联储副主席杰斐逊周三表示,近期的通胀数据显示美联储在实现2%通胀目标方面持续取得进展,但由于新的税收政策可能推高物价,前景现在充满不确定性

周二公布的数据显示,美国4月CPI同比增速低于市场预期,但杰斐逊在纽约联储的一次活动中表示:

“未来通胀路径存在很大的不确定性。如果迄今为止宣布的关税上调持续下去,它们可能会中断通胀回落的进程,并至少产生暂时性的通胀上升。关税是否会产生持续的通胀上行压力,将取决于贸易政策如何实施、向消费者价格的传导、供应链的反应以及经济的表现。”

杰斐逊表示,他支持在上次FOMC会议上维持政策利率不变,并认为目前4.25%至4.5%的利率仍在“适度限制性”水平,“能充分应对可能出现的各种事态”。

杰斐逊表示,他认为劳动力市场仍然“稳固”,并认为美国经济今年头三个月出现的轻微萎缩受到进口数据扭曲,使得GDP数据夸大了经济放缓的程度。

尽管如此,杰斐逊表示,企业和家庭的情绪有所下降,他“非常密切地关注硬数据中经济活动减弱的迹象。”

此外,他确实预计美国今年经济增长将放缓,但仍将保持正增长

特朗普政府持续不断地发布关税公告,将美国进口关税水平推至创纪录高位,但随后又推迟实施,这使得美联储难以确定其对物价、增长和就业的最终影响。

决策者表示,目前他们处于“待命状态”,等待贸易及其他政策变化最终确定,以便研究其对经济的影响。

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