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分析:XRP和DOGE的合约持仓量上涨但价格涨势衰减,或表明市场对波动性与下行风险的偏好正在升温
永远满仓
永远满仓
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5 月 14 日,尽管现货价格显露疲态,XRP 和狗狗币 (DOGE) 期货市场的投机头寸持续堆积,显示市场对波动性与下行风险的偏好正在升温。数据显示:


· DOGE 期货:未平仓合约量一周内激增 63.9%(9.89 亿→16.2 亿美元),现货价同期上涨 40% 至 0.23 美元;
· XRP 期货:未平仓合约同期增长 41.6%(增量超 10 亿美元),现货涨幅相对温和(2.14 涨至 2.6 美元)。


链上分析公司 Glassnode 表示,价格动能衰减与未平仓合约激增的背离,暗示投机头寸持续堆积,而这种情况值得警惕。未平仓合约 (OI) 作为投机活动风向标,当其与滞涨价格形成背离时,往往预示杠杆增速已超过实际信心——这种模式在过去多次引发闪崩。

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