Taco?

Market Outlook Expectations for Monday Today is Sunday night, which is Sunday morning in the US. The US stock market will open tomorrow, and I believe the market's movement will largely depend on Monday's news and the market's performance after the opening. News Currently, the news is still within the "Trump 48-hour window," meaning Trump gave Iran a 48-hour ultimatum. This ultimatum should end tomorrow night in the Asian market, meaning we'll know around the market opening whether Iran will agree to a ceasefire. If this news emerges, I think it will boost the market. If Iran doesn't announce a ceasefire, then the ball is back in Trump's court. He still has two options: First, even though Iran hasn't conceded, he can unilaterally declare victory and cease further fighting, in which case the market will continue to react according to the "TACO" expectation. Second, Trump will indeed bomb Iran's nuclear facilities, which is the worst-case scenario. I expect this bombing to cause a market decline. However, if it doesn't immediately fall below 63,000, the situation isn't too bad. US Stocks Will Friday be the bottom? On Friday, the price touched the lower boundary of the descending channel and rebounded in the last hour. After the market closed (5:22 PM), Trump suggested "potentially unwinding the war with Iran," which was suspected to be insider trading. However, on Saturday, Trump mentioned potential bombing again, which was not reflected in the stock market (due to the market closing), but was reflected in the cryptocurrency market. Therefore, only by combining the final conclusions of the news can we know whether the US stock market has bottomed out. If a ceasefire occurs on Monday, and the rebound on Friday night confirms insider trading, then the market should confirm a bottom and rebound. US stocks and cryptocurrencies should rebound simultaneously. 6500 is confirmed as support. However, if the intensity of the war escalates further on Monday, it will be very unfavorable for the market, and the buying at the end of Friday's trading session will be interpreted as a failed bullish counterattack. In summary, the market is currently driven by news, and the role of technical analysis has weakened. We believe the market will sweep through 69 and then rebound. The sweep has already occurred, and a bullish divergence has appeared on the 4-hour chart, but whether a rebound can occur depends on news-driven factors. Some analysts also believe that the market will further decline to 64000 before rebounding to the 80 range. I don't currently think it will happen. Therefore, technically speaking, a rebound from 67300 is still more likely for me, but I also respect any subsequent reactions from the news. This article is sponsored by #BCGAME | @bcgame @bcgamecoin

Market View Bitcoin and US Stocks Show Market Divergence US stocks fell again to the $6500 range on Friday. Unlike the tariffs from February to April 2025, Bitcoin has shown relative resilience in this conflict, failing to reach new lows despite a 7% drop in US stocks. After US stocks hit a new low on Friday, Bitcoin only fell to $69400, creating a market divergence (US stocks hit a new low, Bitcoin a secondary low). Therefore, I believe the possibility of a new low for Bitcoin ($68-$67) has decreased. Especially given the strong rebound in US stocks at the end of the day, we believe there is a possibility that US stocks have bottomed out. If US stocks begin to rebound next week, I think Bitcoin may also rebound. The first resistance level for the rebound is in the $73-$74 range. If the 4-hour chart confirms a break above $74, the next target range is $78-$81. This depends on the duration and magnitude of the US stock rebound. This article is sponsored by #BCGAME｜@bcgame @bcgamecoin

Market Outlook After rebounding from 71366, the US market fell, with support levels below. Yesterday's analysis suggested a potential new low after the rebound before an upward move. Currently, the price is facing resistance at 71366 and has fallen back below 70,000, although it hasn't reached a new low yet. US stocks have fallen to 6550, with 6500 acting as a psychological support level. I believe the ideal scenario would be for $BTC to reach the 67-68 range, undergo a second test, and then rise after a 4-hour bullish divergence. US stocks would simultaneously test 6500 (or not, as US stocks and BTC would become decoupled) before rebounding. Combined with crude oil prices, the current scenario is highly similar to that of March 2022. Therefore, I maintain my expectation of a top at 78-81 by the end of March. This article is sponsored by #BCGAME｜@bcgame @bcgamecoin

Have family members considered what will happen when they get old? If you're unmarried, you're likely to have no children. How will you care for yourself in old age? Theoretically, with enough money, you could hire someone, but there are numerous examples, both in China and abroad, of elderly people being exploited. Technological advancements offer two new paths: 1. Brain-computer interfaces: spending your later years in a nutritional pod within a space like Sword Art Online. 2. Embodied Intelligence (EAI) as a provider of elderly care. Hopefully, I can live healthily until these two technologies are fully developed.

I see two potential paths for BTC at the moment: One is that it will find support around 71,000 and rebound; The other is that it will rebound after clearing out the liquidity at 69. I believe both paths will point to higher levels.

Market Outlook Expectation of Continued Rise After Pullback Bitcoin pulled back after touching 76, retracing approximately 4% to the 71,000 range today. Many people are asking if the rally is over/has peaked/is about to fall. These questions are understandable, as many have been misled by the market many times, experiencing rollercoaster rides and significant profit retracements. However, this time is different. I believe the rally is not over yet. From a timing perspective, I lean towards a peak at the end of March, mirroring the March 2022 scenario, so there should still be some time before the peak. From a price perspective, a pullback after breaking 74 is normal. The CB premium is also continuing. Therefore, I believe there will be another rise after this pullback. From a long position perspective, one could consider going long above the Monday low and targeting the Monday high (going long to 75,000 after stabilizing above 72,200). I currently hold SOL and XRP spot, so I will continue to hold without making any further moves until I believe the peak has been reached before exiting. This article is sponsored by #BCGAME｜@bcgame @bcgamecoin

This foreign KOL kept shorting, then the price kept rising, finally breaking through resistance. I blame it on @cz_binance pumping the price. I posted a screenshot of someone blocking CZ. (Over 1000 people liked his original tweet. These people are the best fuel for the rebound.) You can have 1000 reasons to block CZ, but Bitcoin's rise isn't one of them.

Market View Breakthrough 74, 78-81 Expected by End of March Bitcoin briefly broke through 74 this morning and is currently still around 74. Previously, we mentioned watching Monday's range; a break above 74 might lead to the 78-81 range. Currently, I believe it will break through 74 this week, and then break through to the 78-81 range by the end of March. On smaller timeframes, we can see that the pullbacks in $BTC have been very shallow, avoiding a deep correction; the order book is also constantly approaching upwards from below. Therefore, a formal breakout of 74 should only be a matter of time. After the breakout, the next target is 78-81. There is a CME gap at 81, and filling it is reasonable. We don't see any higher levels above 81 for now; filling the CME gap might mark the end of this phase of the rebound. After the rebound ends, April should see a major decline. The chart shows a pattern that replicates the rebound pattern of March 2022, for reference. This article is sponsored by #BCGAME｜@bcgame @bcgamecoin

Things don't happen more than three times; this time it might really be a breakthrough.